UK's elite hardware talent is being wasted.

Saturday Aug 3, 2024

Imperial, Oxford, and Cambridge produce world-class engineers. Yet post-graduation, their trajectory is an economic tragedy - and a hidden arbitrage opportunity.

The Stark Reality:

  • Top London hardware engineer graduates: £30,000-£50,000

  • Silicon Valley equivalent: $150,000+

The reality for most graduates is even grimmer:

  • £25,000 starting salaries at traditional engineering firms

  • Exodus to consulting or finance just because it's compensated better

Meanwhile computer science graduates land lucrative jobs in big tech or quant trading, often starting at £100,000+

Examples of wasted potential:

  • Sarah: Built a fusion reactor at 16. Now? Debugging fintech payment systems.

  • James: 3D-printed prosthetic limbs for A-levels. Today? Writing credit risk reports.

  • Alex: Developed AI drone swarms for disaster relief at 18. Graduated with top honours from Imperial. His job? Tweaking a single button's ergonomics on home appliances.

These aren't outliers. They're a generation of engineering prodigies whose talents are being squandered.

This isn't just wage disparity. It's misallocation of human capital on a national scale.

As a hardware founder in London, I've witnessed this firsthand. We have the talent for groundbreaking innovation, but lack the means to realise it.

Root Causes:

  1. Geographical Constraints: Unlike lucrative software jobs, hardware engineering demands physical presence.

  2. Venture Capital: European VCs, mostly bullish on fintech and SaaS, remain wary of hardware. Result? A feedback loop of underinvestment and missed opportunities.

  3. Industrial Stagnation: Traditional engineering firms fail to innovate in talent strategies and match compensation, accelerating brain drain.

Consequences:

  1. Innovation Stagnation: We're not just losing salary differences; we're missing out on the next ARM or Tesla.

  2. Economic Ripple Effects: One successful hardware company can spawn dozens of ancillary businesses. We're losing these compounding effects.

  3. National Security Implications: In an era where technological edge equals geopolitical power, can we afford to let our best hardware talent languish?

  4. Brain Drain Acceleration: We risk losing our top talent permanently to overseas markets.

Debunking Common Myths

"London's lower living costs justify lower salaries."

False. London is around the same as NYC and more expensive than most parts of California and definitely Texas. This also ignores:

  • Wealth Creation and Ecosystem Acceleration: High salaries and successful exits compound dramatically over time, that's why the US has so much more VC and angel capital.

  • Talent attraction: Top jobs draw global talent. Example: Google's entry into London with competitive salaries reshaped the entire tech ecosystem.

"UK's small market limits growth."

Outdated thinking. Consider:

  • Dyson: From a Wiltshire barn to a global technology powerhouse, now innovating in Singapore and Malaysia.

  • Ocado: Online grocer turned global automation technology provider, with robotics solutions deployed across Europe and North America.

  • ARM: Powering 95% of smartphones globally.

"Hardware is riskier than software."

No longer true:

  • Development speed: 3D prints and PCB prototypes now available in 24 hours, rivalling software iteration speeds.

  • Moat strength: Apple's hardware-software ecosystem is far more defensible than most pure software plays.

  • Massive hardware exits:

    • ARM: Sold to SoftBank for $32B in 2016, now worth $140B+.

    • CSR (Cambridge Silicon Radio): Acquired by Qualcomm for $2.5B in 2015.

    • Dyson: While not an exit, it's valued at over £20B as of 2023.

The Arbitrage Play:

It isn't about costs. It's about ambition.

While software talent flows freely globally, ambitious UK hardware startups can exclusively tap into a world-class, locally-bound talent pool.

  1. The Software Brain Drain:

    • US tech giants easily poach UK software talent

    • Remote work erases geographical boundaries

    • Result: Constant outflow of top software engineers

  2. The Hardware Opportunity:

    • Physical presence matters - can't build rockets remotely

    • UK hardware talent largely untapped by global competition

    • Build something ambitious, attract local engineering superstars

  3. The Talent Trap:

    • Brilliant minds wasting away in soul-crushing corporate jobs

    • Your future "10x engineer" is someone else's bored employee

  4. The Hardware Advantage:

    • Forget software. Hardware is the new frontier.

    • Build the next ARM or Dyson, not another fintech app

    • Leverage UK's world-class research institutions

  5. Why Now:

    • Incumbents are unambitious, startups are few (for now)

    • Top-tier VCs awakening to UK hardware potential

    • First movers will have pick of the talent pool

The Window is Closing

This arbitrage won't last forever. As you read this, others are waking up to the opportunity. The first movers will reap the rewards. The followers will wonder why they didn't see it sooner.

The Hardware Revolution Starts Now

Wake up, UK. Our engineering talent is our nuclear fusion. Ignite it or lose the future.

VCs:

Your next unicorn isn't code. It's cobalt and circuits. Back the tangible.

Founders:

Stop fleeing to the US. London can be the hardware capital of the world. We have the talent. We have the creativity. What we need is your audacity.

Engineers:

Your brain's worth billions. Build empires, not apps.

While the world obsesses over the next GPT wrapper, we'll forge the next industrial revolution.

This isn't a pipe dream. It's an imperative.

UK, it's time to build.

Braindump by Josef Chen